Altus, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

203
FXUS64 KOUN 090644
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
144 AM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 141 AM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

 - Mainly dry and a bit cooler early this week.

 - Widespread rain chances return by midweek.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

Cooler and somewhat drier air will filter south in the wake of last
nights MCS and a weak cold front that will push south through the
area this morning. This will result in a quieter day with slightly
cooler temperatures across Oklahoma and north Texas. There is an
outside chance for a storm or two this afternoon across western
north Texas with perhaps a better chance during the evening hours as
convection develop across the High Plains of New Mexico and then
propagates southeast toward western north Texas. If these can
maintain themselves some severe risk would accompany this activity.
Otherwise, the remainder of the area will be dry today and tonight.

North winds today behind the front will quickly shift back around to
the south overnight as area of surface high pressure shifts east of
the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

Shortwave trough drops southeast out of the Southern Rockies into
west Texas on Tuesday and then move east along the Red river Tuesday
evening. This will bring an increasing chance of showers and
thunderstorms to that area. Again no widespread severe anticipated,
but given possible instability values some isolated severe can not
be ruled out late Tuesday across the south.

This shortwave will then interact and consolidate with another
shortwave moving along the southern U.S. border by Wednesday morning
over central/north central Texas. This upper low will then translate
slowly north and northeast across north Texas and Oklahoma Wednesday
and Wednesday night, brining more widespread rain back to the area,
unfortunately.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 141 AM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

Models differ on timing of this upper low traversing the area, where
the GFS takes it northeast quite a bit quicker than the ECMWF. Its
already north and east of the area Thursday morning with the GFS,
while the ECMWF keeps it meandering around the state through
Saturday before kicking it east. With the uncertainty with regards
to timing will likely need to maintain some precip chances into the
weekend.

Beyond this, models do depict a upper ridge building northeast out
of the Rockies into the Plains as we go through the weekend into
early the following week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1154 PM CDT Sun Jun 8 2025

MCS exiting south and southeast parts of the area this evening.
Some residual shower and thunderstorm activity may impact SPS/DUA
for another hour or two. Could also see some MVFR ceilings later
tonight into Monday morning before a return to VFR across the
entire area by mid-morning. Light north winds expected later
tonight and through much of the day tomorrow before winds shift
back around to the east/southeast by the end of the forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  85  65  88  66 /  10   0   0   0
Hobart OK         85  64  87  64 /  10   0   0  10
Wichita Falls TX  85  67  86  66 /  10  10  10  20
Gage OK           84  62  88  62 /   0   0   0  10
Ponca City OK     86  61  90  66 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         85  67  87  68 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch until 3 AM CDT early this morning for OKZ014>018-
     021>025-027>029-033>048-050>052.

TX...Flood Watch until 3 AM CDT early this morning for TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...30